DOIONLINE

DOIONLINE NO - IJIEEE-IRAJ-DOI-7763

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International Journal of Industrial Electronics and Electrical Engineering (IJIEEE)-IJIEEE
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Volume Issue
Issue
Volume-5,Issue-4  ( Apr, 2017 )
Paper Title
Price Forecasting For Day – Ahead Electricity Market Using Recursive Neural Network
Author Name
N. Sai Pavn Kumar, B. Siva Nagaraju
Affilition
Asst. Professor, EEE Department, G.V.R&S College of Engineering & Technology, Budampadu, Guntur (Dt) AP, India
Pages
115-122
Abstract
Price forecasting has becomes a very valuable tool in the current upheaval of electricity market deregulation. It plays an important role in power system planning and operation, risk assessment and other decision making. This paper provides a method for predicting hourly prices in the day-ahead electricity marketusing Recursive Neural Network (RNN) technique, which is based on one output node, which uses the previous prediction as input for the subsequent forecasts. In this way, it is carried out recursively for twenty four steps to preict next 24 hour prices. Comparison of forecasting performance of the proposed RNN model with similar days along with other literature is presented. The proposed method is examined on the PJM electricity market. The result obtained through the simulation show that the proposed RNN model can provide efficient, accurate and better results. Index Terms- Electricity market, price forecasting, recursive neural networks, similar days.
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