DOIONLINE

DOIONLINE NO - IJMAS-IRAJ-DOIONLINE-14174

Publish In
International Journal of Management and Applied Science (IJMAS)-IJMAS
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Volume Issue
Issue
Volume-4,Issue-10  ( Oct, 2018 )
Paper Title
The Effect of Exchange Rate on Malaysian GDP
Author Name
Faridah Abdul Halim, Muhammad Rozi Malim
Affilition
Faculty of Computer and Mathematical Sciences, Universiti Teknologi MARA, 40450 Shah Alam, Malaysia
Pages
20-24
Abstract
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the total value of goods produced and services provided in a country during one year. There are many macroeconomic factors that could affect GDP including the exchange rate. The studies on the relationship between GDP and exchange rate produced mixed results; it could be positive, negative, or no relation at all. However, most studies agreed that there is a positive relationship between these two variables. This study examines the effect of exchange rate on Malaysian GDP using quarterly time series datasets spanning from Q3-2005 to Q1-2017. Two simple time series techniques (trend analysis and simple linear regression) were employed. The trend analysis revealed that the period Q3-2011 to Q1-2017 is more appropriate for this study. The simple linear regression verified that there is a strong correlation between exchange rate and Malaysian GDP; 78.6% of the variation in Malaysian GDP is explained by the exchange rate. This study concluded that there exists a strong positive effect of exchange rate on Malaysian GDP. Keywords- Malaysian GDP, Exchange Rate, Trend Analysis, Simple Linear Regression.
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